You are visiting the website that is operated by Ultima Markets Ltd, a licensed investment firm by the Financial Services Commission “FSC” of Mauritius, under license number GB 23201593. Please be advised that Ultima Markets Ltd does not have legal entities in the European Union.
If you wish to open an account in an EU investment firm and protected by EU laws, you will be redirected to Ultima Markets Cyprus Ltd (the “CIF”), a Cyprus investment firm duly licensed and regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission with license number 426/23.
On Monday, the U.S. dollar index gapped down, slipping 0.34% as investors prepared for a potentially pivotal week for the global economy, with the United States selecting a new leader. Democratic candidate Kamala Harris and Republican candidate Donald Trump remain virtually tied in opinion polls, and the winner may not be known for days after voting concludes.
(US Dollar Daily Price Chart, Source: Trading View)
Analysts suggest that Trump’s policies on immigration, tax cuts, and tariffs could drive up inflation, bond yields, and the dollar, while Harris is seen as a candidate for continuity. Dealers attributed the early dip in the dollar to a well-regarded poll showing Harris unexpectedly leading by 3 points in Iowa, largely due to her popularity among female voters.
Conversely, a Trump win is generally viewed as positive for the USD, though many believe this outcome has already been priced in. A Trump presidency with full congressional control could be especially impactful, likely triggering a sell-off in Treasuries and a sharp increase in the USD. In contrast, a Harris victory and a split Congress could lead to a quick reversal of ‘Trump trades,’ with the U.S. dollar, gold, bitcoin, and U.S. equities potentially heading lower.
Uncertainty about the election outcome is one reason markets expect the Federal Reserve to opt for a standard 25 basis point rate cut on Thursday rather than another larger half-point reduction.
Disclaimer
Comments, news, research, analysis, price, and all information contained in the article only serve as general information for readers and do not suggest any advice. Ultima Markets has taken reasonable measures to provide up-to-date information, but cannot guarantee accuracy, and may modify without notice. Ultima Markets will not be responsible for any loss incurred due to the application of the information provided.
Ultima Markets provides the foremost competitive cost and exchange environment for prevalent commodities worldwide.
Start TradingMonitoring the market on the go
Markets are susceptible to changes in supply and demand
Attractive to investors only interested in price speculation
Deep and diverse liquidity with no hidden fees
No dealing desk and no requotes
Fast execution via Equinix NY4 server